Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Buzzone M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Lecco		Alcione

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.25	3.50
	1.95	3.05	3.45	Watch
	1.99	3.27	3.94
	1.95	3.42	3.54	Watch
	1.97	3.20	3.90
	1.94	3.25	4.08	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.09)	3.24 ↑ (2.98)	3.72 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
47.1%

Draw
28.3%

Alcione
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

30%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Lecco - Alcione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalmasso J. (G) 45. Rizzo M. 4. Comi P. 13. Bordoni T. 11. Urso O. 6. Mallamo A. 21. Metlika A. (C) 99. Manetti G. 17. Pellegrino G. 10. Capello A. 15. Murillo A.	1. Raffaelli F. (G) 5. Sadotti E. 25. Pirola F. 4. Miculi A. 3. Chierichetti P. 18. Lopes E. 23. Galli G. (C) 30. Rebaudo R. 10. Pitou J. 11. Morselli F. 98. Zini L.
Substitutes
78. Anastasini J. 8. Bonaiti S. 9. Casarotto M. 83. Fama S. 30. Fasan N. 19. Litti M. 20. Mihali L. 75. Nova E. 72. Polonioli M. 24. Sidler S. 27. Triacca D. 12. Zouaghi T. (G)	56. Andreassi D. 2. Baldacchino S. 94. Bertolotti F. 17. Braida A. 6. Ciappellano D. 81. Gallazzi F. 16. Lanzi J. 27. Lione M. 31. Marconi M. 67. Mocchi T. 22. Morazzoni J. (G) 8. Muroni M. 21. Parlati S. 20. Puzzoli G. 14. Rolfini A.
Coaches
Valente F.	Cusatis G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Mallamo A. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Galli G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Sadotti E. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Manetti G. ⚽,
63', Murillo A. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
63', Pellegrino G. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
63', Manetti G. ↓, Litti M. ↑,
63', Galli G. ↓, Lanzi J. ↑,
63', Zini L. ↓, Marconi M. ↑,
73', Bordoni T. ↓, Sidler S. ↑,
74', Lopes E. ↓, Mocchi T. ↑,
76', Urso O. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
85', Sadotti E. ↓, Braida A. ↑,
85', Rebaudo R. ↓, Bertolotti F. ↑,
90', Casarotto M. 🟨,
90+5', Comi P. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15th and 9th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Lecco could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lecco holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Lecco has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 1:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lecco against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals (averaging 1:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alcione Milano	11	3	6	2	18:17	1	15
9	Lecco	11	3	5	3	14:11	3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Lecco - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Alcione - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 25.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
04.10.26	Lecco - Brescia	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Cittadella - Lecco	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Lecco - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Desenzano Calvina - Lecco	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Lecco - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLTWW
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
04.10.26	Alcione - Trento	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	AlbinoLeffe - Alcione	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Alcione - Brescia	0:4 ✺
17.09.26	Pro Vercelli - Alcione	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Folgore Caratese - Alcione	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
10.04.26	Alcione - Lecco	0:2
08.12.25	Lecco - Alcione	1:0
13.03.25	Alcione - Lecco	0:0
30.10.24	Lecco - Alcione	1:0

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