Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Lecco		Alcione

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.20	3.60
	1.88	3.2	3.9
	1.81	3.39	4.19	Watch
	1.82	3.24	3.99
	1.88	3.2	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.09)	3.25 ↑ (2.98)	3.92 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
49%

Draw
27.9%

Alcione
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

30%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lecco's performance.

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Lecco - Alcione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 13th and 8th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Lecco could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lecco holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Lecco has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 1:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lecco against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals (averaging 1:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alcione Milano	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11
13	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Lecco - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Alcione - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 25.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
04.10.26	Lecco - Brescia	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Cittadella - Lecco	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Lecco - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Desenzano Calvina - Lecco	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Lecco - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLTWW
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
04.10.26	Alcione - Trento	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	AlbinoLeffe - Alcione	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Alcione - Brescia	0:4 ✺
17.09.26	Pro Vercelli - Alcione	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Folgore Caratese - Alcione	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
10.04.26	Alcione - Lecco	0:2
08.12.25	Lecco - Alcione	1:0
13.03.25	Alcione - Lecco	0:0
30.10.24	Lecco - Alcione	1:0

Lecco - Alcione: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide