Match Info

Serie B - Round 21

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Minas Gerais)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Athletic Club		Criciúma

	1	X	2
	3.10	2.75	2.50	Watch
	2.87	2.87	2.45
	2.95	3.00	2.50	Watch
	3.37	2.87	2.57
	3.07	2.87	2.56	Watch
	3.3	2.85	2.5
	3.04	2.89	2.51	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.91)	2.86 ↓ (2.92)	2.51 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
30.1%

Draw
32.6%

Criciúma
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

32%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

32.5%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Athletic Club - Criciúma Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luan Polli (G) 6. Zeca (C) 3. Jhonatan Silva 4. Belezi 23. Enzo Santos 16. Joao Miguel 18. Pedro Oliveira 19. Pool J. 5. Felipe Negrucci 17. Kauan Rodrigues 9. Carlinhos	70. Pedro Santos (G) 37. Cesar Martins 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Luciano Castan 97. Willean Lepo 5. Eduardo 8. Gui Lobo 22. Marcelo Hermes 13. Waguininho 7. Fellipe Mateus 88. Caue Santos
Substitutes
20. Aponza W. 7. Bruninho 22. Diogo Batista 2. Douglas Pele 13. Felipe Vieira 10. Gustavinho 15. Jota 8. Kauan Lindes 14. Marcelo Henrique 12. Tony (G) 21. Vera D. 11. Yago Santos	32. Airton (G) 1. Alisson (G) 34. Bruno Alves 77. Diego Goncalves 31. Hiago Alves 41. Jean Irmer 10. Jhonata Robert 21. Joao Carlos 9. Nicolas 11. Romarinho 14. Ronald Lopes
Coaches
Alex Souza	Eduardo Baptista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Pedro Oliveira ⚽,
45+1', Zeca 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodrigo ↓, Romarinho ↑,
46', Eduardo 🟨,
53', Zeca ↓, Diogo Batista ↑,
54', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Vera D. ↑,
54', Carlinhos ↓, Aponza W. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Aponza W. ⚽, Vera D. (A),
60', Caue Santos ↓, Nicolas ↑,
60', Eduardo ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
64', Diogo Batista 🟨,
66', Romarinho 🟨,
69', Kauan Rodrigues ↓, Kauan Lindes ↑,
70', Gui Lobo ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
73', Felipe Negrucci ↓, Jota ↑,
78', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

Athletic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Criciúma is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Athletic: Max (Yellow Cards) Rodrigo Gelado (Injury) Sidimar (Injury) Tavares R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Criciúma: Airton (Inactive) Yuri Tanque (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Criciúma: Marcinho (Inactive) Octavio Henrique (Muscle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Criciuma: 5.88% Athletic Club: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	6	53
14	Athletic Club	32	10	12	10	38:37	1	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
28.07.26	Ponte Preta - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
23.07.26	Athletic Club - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
13.07.26	Ceará - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
07.07.26	Athletic Club - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWTTL
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
26.07.26	Criciúma - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
21.07.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Criciúma - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Ponte Preta - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Criciúma - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
01.04.26	Criciúma - Athletic Club	1:1
18.08.25	Athletic Club - Criciúma	1:1
17.04.25	Criciúma - Athletic Club	4:0

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