Match Info

Mineiro - Round 6

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Minas Gerais)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)


	Athletic Club		Uberlândia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.35	4.65	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.63
	1.72	3.29	4.99	Watch
	1.8	2.9	4.4
	1.77	3.14	4.64	Watch
	1.81	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.48)	3.2 ↓ (3.75)	4.64 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
51.6%

Draw
28.6%

Uberlândia
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

24.2%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

21.4%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Club's form might have worsened.

Uberlândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uberlândia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uberlândia than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Athletic Club - Uberlândia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Robert (G) 2. Zeca 3. Jhonatan Silva (C) 4. Indio G. 6. Enzo 8. Ian Luccas 5. Cabezas G. 11. Luiz Filipe 10. David Braga 7. Vera D. 9. Tavares R.	1. Jefferson Luis (G) 2. Ben-Hur 3. Renan Mota 4. Max Miller 6. Nathan 8. Rafael Conceicao 5. Diego Fumaca (C) 7. Robinho 9. Julio Rodrigues 11. Leo Reis 26. Ingro
Substitutes
20. Caicedo Nestor 22. Caick 16. Caua 15. Diego Vitor (G) 21. Douglas Pele 14. Edson Miranda 26. Eduardo Freire (G) 13. Felipe Vieira 12. Glauco (G) 19. Kauan Lindes 18. Leandro Alves 17. Ruan Assis	30. Aranha (G) 22. Carlos Miguel 14. Fernandinho 19. Jaco 16. Juan Carlos 13. Lazarini 18. Longatto 17. Luis Felipe 21. Luiz Miguel 20. Marcos Calazans 15. Parrudo 12. Pedro Caracoci (G)
Coaches
Duarte R.	Lucio F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Zeca (Own goal),
12', Nathan 🟨,
24', 0 - 2, Leo Reis ⚽, Diego Fumaca (A),
36', Cabezas G. ↓, Caua ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Ian Luccas 🟨,
52', Leo Reis 🟨,
76', Jhonatan Silva 🟨,
80', Leandro Alves 🟨,
81', 0 - 3, Jaco ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.

Athletic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Uberlândia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Athletic is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
25.01.26	Athletic Club - Betim	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	3:4 ✺
17.01.26	Democrata GV - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Athletic Club - URT	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	América Mineiro - Athletic Club	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWTLL
- Uberlândia EC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
24.01.26	Uberlândia - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Uberlândia - Itabirito	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Cruzeiro - Uberlândia	5:0 ✺
14.01.26	Betim - Uberlândia	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Uberlândia - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
15.03.25	Athletic Club - Uberlândia	3:2
08.03.25	Uberlândia - Athletic Club	0:2
09.02.25	Uberlândia - Athletic Club	3:0
16.03.24	Athletic Club - Uberlândia	0:0
09.03.24	Uberlândia - Athletic Club	2:2
24.02.24	Uberlândia - Athletic Club	2:1
26.01.22	Uberlândia - Athletic Club	0:1

Upcoming Matches