Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 11

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Athletico Paranaense U20		Atlético Mineiro U20

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	3.8
	1.69	3.8	4.1
	1.67	4.13	4.42
	1.62	4.1	4.41	Watch
	1.66	3.8	4.3
	1.69	3.84	4.38
	1.69	3.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)	3.88 ↑ (3.77)	4.22 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense U20
54.7%

Draw
23.6%

Atlético Mineiro U20
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

24.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

23.4%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Atlético Mineiro U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense U20 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro U20 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Athletico Paranaense U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Sorriso ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Diogo Riquelme ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 2 - 1, Alisson Souza ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR U20 won 3.

Athletico PR U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético MG U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Athletico PR U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlético MG U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Athletico PR U20 is a strong favorite.

We predict that Athletico PR U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR U20 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 2.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR U20 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense U20
Brazilian Paranaense U20
18.05.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Coritiba U20	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
15.05.25	Palmeiras U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
10.05.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Apucarana U20	4:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
07.05.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Corinthians U20	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
02.05.25	Patriotas U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW
- Atlético Mineiro U20
Brazilian Mineiro U20
17.05.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - XV de Novembro U20	4:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
13.05.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Internacional U20	1:1 ✺
07.05.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1 ✺
30.04.25	São Paulo U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
19.06.24	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	4:1
02.08.21	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	4:3
24.01.21	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	1:1 penalties
17.01.21	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	2:1
18.10.20	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:0
13.07.19	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	1:1

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