Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 9

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday


	Atlético Mineiro U20		Vasco da Gama U20

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.45	2.35
	2.8	3.52	2.36
	2.66	3.52	2.34	Watch
	2.69	3.52	2.26
	2.6	3.45	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.55)	3.49 ↑ (3.47)	2.33 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro U20
34.4%

Draw
26.3%

Vasco da Gama U20
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

26.1%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26.2%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro U20 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Atlético Mineiro U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Riquelme Avellar (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', Renan Santana 🟥,
83', 1 - 1, Leo Jaco ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG U20 won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vasco U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vasco U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG U20 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG U20 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro U20
Brasileiro U20
30.04.25	São Paulo U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	2:2 ✺
14.04.25	Corinthians U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	3:2 ✺
09.04.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Cruzeiro U20	1:1 ✺
02.04.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Bahia U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTW
- Vasco da Gama U20
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
04.05.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
30.04.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - São Paulo U20	4:1 ✺
16.04.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
13.04.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Maricá U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
12.09.21	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	3:1
Copa do Brasil U20
17.12.20	Vasco da Gama U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	1:0
10.12.20	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1
Brasileiro U20
01.10.20	Vasco da Gama U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	1:1
03.11.19	Vasco da Gama U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:0 penalties
23.10.19	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:0
12.10.19	Vasco da Gama U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:1

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