Match Info

Division 1 - Round 21

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Location: Athlone Town Stadium (Athlone)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Athlone Town		Finn Harps

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.60	4.50
	1.68	3.55	4.25
	1.68	3.86	5.04
	1.68	3.73	4.5	Watch
	1.65	3.80	4.95
	1.63	3.64	4.73
	1.63	3.65	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.74)	3.69 ↑ (3.47)	4.67 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athlone Town
55.5%

Draw
24.9%

Finn Harps
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.4%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.7%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athlone Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Finn Harps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Athlone Town - Finn Harps Predictions

Users Predictions: Athlone Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Clarke B. (C) 3. O'Connor K. 29. Kehir J. 5. O'Connor E. 23. Considine T. 19. Smith W. 6. Maloney A. 11. McManus B. 24. Cleary C. 18. Grogan P. 21. Tollett C.	25. Lorenzo (G) 14. Coyle D. 4. Tourish C. 5. Brogan O. 6. Bradley-Walsh J. 33. Fanle A. 29. Lumingo N. 10. McNamee T. (C) 11. McAteer G. 28. McLaughlin A. 77. McHugh O.
Substitutes
8. Connolly A. 27. Crawford J. 14. Lomboto G. 30. Nolan C. 13. Trainor A. (G) 2. Webb R.	9. Ajibola T. 7. Benny 2. Cullen J. 24. McDaid A. 36. McElwaine T. 17. McGranaghan C. 1. Sheridan C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', McAteer G. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Tollett C. ⚽,
45+2', Coyle D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', McNamee T. 🟨,
58', Coyle D. 🟨,
65', Clarke B. 🟨,
67', McAteer G. ↓, Cullen J. ↑,
68', Tollett C. ↓, Connolly A. ↑,
68', Smith W. ↓, Lomboto G. ↑,
74', Lomboto G. 🟨,
75', Fanle A. ↓, Ajibola T. ↑,
75', McLaughlin A. ↓, Benny ↑,
76', Bradley-Walsh J. 🟨,
77', McNamee T. ↓, McDaid A. ↑,
80', Connolly A. 🟨,
82', Lomboto G. 🟨,
84', Maloney A. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Benny (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Grogan P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athlone Town won 3.

Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.

In this match, Athlone Town is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athlone Town won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Athlone Town won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Athlone	34	13	9	12	41:40	1	48
10	Finn Harps	34	6	7	21	31:68	-37	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athlone Town
Irish Division 1
19.06.26	Athlone Town - Wexford	2:2 ✺
12.06.26	Kerry - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
29.05.26	University College Dublin - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Athlone Town - Cork City	0:3 ✺
15.05.26	Cobh Ramblers - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- Finn Harps
Irish Division 1
19.06.26	Cobh Ramblers - Finn Harps	3:1 ✺
12.06.26	Finn Harps - University College Dublin	0:5 ✺
29.05.26	Cork City - Finn Harps	4:0 ✺
22.05.26	Finn Harps - Longford Town	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Treaty United - Finn Harps	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
24.04.26	Finn Harps - Athlone Town	1:2
13.02.26	Athlone Town - Finn Harps	2:1
22.08.25	Finn Harps - Athlone Town	2:1
20.06.25	Athlone Town - Finn Harps	0:0
09.05.25	Finn Harps - Athlone Town	0:2
28.03.25	Athlone Town - Finn Harps	0:1
06.09.24	Athlone Town - Finn Harps	1:4

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