Match Info

Division 1 - Round 19

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday

Location: Mounthawk Park (Tralee)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Kerry		Athlone Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.00	2.90
	2.32	3	3
	2.45	3.09	3.19
	2.41	2.85	3.13	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.31	2.95	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.06)	2.97 ↓ (3.14)	3.05 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kerry
39.1%

Draw
30.9%

Athlone Town
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.1%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.7%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kerry's form might have worsened.

Athlone Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kerry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Kerry - Athlone Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kerry will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Athlone Town will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Kerry (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kerry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Connor M. (G) 18. Aladesanusi S. 14. Hakkinen J. 28. Brookwell N. 17. Brosnan C. 7. McGrath S. (C) 24. Borden V. 29. Lee E. 3. O'Connell S. 23. Perez R. 10. Murphy C.	1. Clarke B. (C) 18. Grogan P. 5. O'Connor E. 7. Adewale D. 27. Crawford J. 23. Considine T. 9. Ferry P. 11. McManus B. 24. Cleary C. 8. Connolly A. 14. Lomboto G.
Substitutes
19. Bermingham B. 26. Britton M. 35. Healy A. 34. Keane R. 15. Koufie E. 40. Mangan H. (G) 37. McCormack C. 11. Okwute D. 21. Palmer L.	4. Hand O. 10. Lyons R. 30. Nolan C. 17. Quinn C. 19. Smith W. 21. Tollett C. 13. Trainor A. (G) 2. Webb R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', O'Connor E. 🟨,
25', McGrath S. ↓, Okwute D. ↑,
32', McManus B. 🟨,
35', Cleary C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Perez R. ⚽,
69', Lee E. 🟨,
74', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 2.

Recent performances by Kerry have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Athlone Town is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kerry will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kerry won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kerry	34	13	9	12	42:40	2	48
7	Athlone	34	13	9	12	41:40	1	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish Division 1
29.05.26	Cobh Ramblers - Kerry	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Kerry - Wexford	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Finn Harps - Kerry	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Kerry - Cork City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LTWLW
- Athlone Town
Irish Division 1
29.05.26	University College Dublin - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Athlone Town - Cork City	0:3 ✺
15.05.26	Cobh Ramblers - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Athlone Town - Treaty United	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Longford Town - Athlone Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
01.05.26	Athlone Town - Kerry	0:0
20.02.26	Kerry - Athlone Town	0:1
22.09.25	Athlone Town - Kerry	0:0
01.08.25	Kerry - Athlone Town	4:0
Irish FAI Cup
18.07.25	Kerry - Athlone Town	2:1 ET
Irish Division 1
13.06.25	Athlone Town - Kerry	2:2
11.04.25	Kerry - Athlone Town	3:0

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