Match Info

Division 1 - Round 31

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: UCD Bowl (Dublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	University College Dublin		Athlone Town

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.25	3.40
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	2.19	3.4	3.69
	1.99	3.47	3.37	Watch
	2.12	3.15	3.65
	2.1	3.59	3.18
	2.02	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.87)	3.32 ↓ (3.58)	3.4 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University College Dublin
45%

Draw
27.8%

Athlone Town
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.7%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

27.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University College Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Athlone Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for University College Dublin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

University College Dublin - Athlone Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. UCD will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kavanagh D. (G) 3. Cailloce L. 6. Wells A. (C) 27. Sheeran E. 24. Norval S. 7. McCullagh M. 8. Dignam L. 14. Curtis H. 13. Goad J. 11. Smith H. 15. Akinrintayo C.	1. Clarke B. (C) 7. Connolly D. 27. Crawford J. 5. O'Connor E. 29. Kehir J. 24. Cleary C. 19. Smith W. 12. Brennan S. 11. McManus B. 14. Lomboto G. 18. Grogan P.
Substitutes
12. Alonge M. 10. Behan C. 19. Bolton C. 26. Costello D. 16. Douglas N. (G) 18. Holohan N. 31. Mohan S. 22. Morley T. 21. Ogbonna G.	36. Ayinde A. 23. Considine T. 33. Farnham J. 9. Ferry P. 16. Lawless Z. 10. Lyons R. 3. O'Connor K. 13. Trainor A. (G) 2. Webb R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, O'Connor E. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Smith H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Curtis H. ↓, Holohan N. ↑,
49', Holohan N. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Akinrintayo C. ⚽,
62', McManus B. 🟨,
66', Norval S. ↓, Behan C. ↑,
71', Cleary C. ↓, O'Connor K. ↑,
71', O'Connor E. ↓, Considine T. ↑,
75', Grogan P. ↓, Ferry P. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Ferry P. ⚽,
83', Akinrintayo C. ↓, Mohan S. ↑,
83', Goad J. ↓, Ogbonna G. ↑,
90+3', McCullagh M. ↓, Alonge M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCD won 3.

In recent matches, UCD has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Athlone Town is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

UCD is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UCD won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:18. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, UCD won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:7. (average 2.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	UC Dublin	34	15	7	12	61:48	13	52
7	Athlone	34	13	9	12	41:40	1	48

Last Results with these Odds

University College Dublin - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.18%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University College Dublin
Irish Division 1
04.09.26	Cobh Ramblers - University College Dublin	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	University College Dublin - Finn Harps	5:4 ✺
21.08.26	Kerry - University College Dublin	1:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
14.08.26	University College Dublin - Derry City	1:2 ✺
Irish Division 1
07.08.26	University College Dublin - Wexford	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWTLW
- Athlone Town
Irish Division 1
04.09.26	Finn Harps - Athlone Town	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Athlone Town - Bray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Wexford - Athlone Town	0:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
14.08.26	Waterford - Athlone Town	2:1 ✺
Irish Division 1
07.08.26	Athlone Town - Longford Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
31.07.26	Athlone Town - University College Dublin	0:0
29.05.26	University College Dublin - Athlone Town	1:0
03.04.26	Athlone Town - University College Dublin	0:2
10.10.25	University College Dublin - Athlone Town	2:2
04.08.25	Athlone Town - University College Dublin	1:2
30.05.25	University College Dublin - Athlone Town	2:0
14.03.25	Athlone Town - University College Dublin	2:1

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