Match Info

Division 1 - Round 19

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday

Location: Finn Park (Ballybofey)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Finn Harps		University College Dublin

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.30	1.88
	3.55	3.45	1.92
	3.78	3.66	1.98
	3.66	3.41	1.92	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.91
	3.59	3.46	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.76)	3.43 ↓ (3.48)	1.92 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Finn Harps
25.6%

Draw
26.6%

University College Dublin
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

26.3%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

24.9%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finn Harps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

University College Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Finn Harps - University College Dublin Predictions

Users Predictions: University College Dublin will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Lorenzo (G) 5. Brogan O. 4. Tourish C. 6. Bradley-Walsh J. 33. Fanle A. 7. Benny 14. Coyle D. 10. McNamee T. 11. McAteer G. 9. Ajibola T. 28. McLaughlin A.	1. Kavanagh D. (G) 26. O'Regan L. 4. Clancy E. 18. Holohan N. 2. Murphy S. 8. Dignam L. 6. Wells A. 22. Morley T. 17. Cailloce K. 40. Smith H. 7. McCullagh M.
Substitutes
13. Friel G. 29. Lumingo N. 34. McAteer J. 24. McDaid A. 36. McElwaine T. 17. McGranaghan C. 77. McHugh O. 35. Preston T. 1. Sheridan C. (G)	15. Akinrintayo C. 11. Alonge M. 20. Andrade K. (G) 19. Bolton C. 3. Cailloce L. 5. Lennox C. 31. Mohan S. 21. Ogbonna G. 9. Raggett M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Dignam L. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Cailloce K. ⚽,
33', Fanle A. 🟨,
34', 0 - 3, Holohan N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Benny ↓, Lumingo N. ↑,
51', Tourish C. 🟨,
55', Coyle D. 🟨,
55', Brogan O. 🟨,
63', Brogan O. ↓, McDaid A. ↑,
63', Fanle A. ↓, McHugh O. ↑,
72', 0 - 4, Cailloce K. ⚽,
76', Ajibola T. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
78', Coyle D. ↓, Friel G. ↑,
78', Cailloce K. ↓, Mohan S. ↑,
78', O'Regan L. ↓, Cailloce L. ↑,
78', McCullagh M. ↓, Alonge M. ↑,
85', Morley T. ↓, Lennox C. ↑,
85', Clancy E. ↓, Bolton C. ↑,
88', 0 - 5, Dignam L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

UCD will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Finn Harps won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	UC Dublin	34	15	7	12	61:48	13	52
10	Finn Harps	34	6	7	21	31:68	-37	25

Last Results with these Odds

Finn Harps - the odds 3.76 are the expected chance of winning is 24.35%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finn Harps
Irish Division 1
29.05.26	Cork City - Finn Harps	4:0 ✺
22.05.26	Finn Harps - Longford Town	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Treaty United - Finn Harps	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Finn Harps - Kerry	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Finn Harps - Bray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLWW
- University College Dublin
Irish Division 1
29.05.26	University College Dublin - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Wexford - University College Dublin	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	University College Dublin - Bray Wanderers	3:4 ✺
08.05.26	Cork City - University College Dublin	3:1 ✺
04.05.26	Cobh Ramblers - University College Dublin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
17.04.26	University College Dublin - Finn Harps	2:1
20.02.26	Finn Harps - University College Dublin	2:1
17.10.25	Finn Harps - University College Dublin	3:4
Irish FAI Cup
18.07.25	Finn Harps - University College Dublin	3:0
Irish Division 1
11.07.25	University College Dublin - Finn Harps	3:1
23.05.25	Finn Harps - University College Dublin	1:2
07.03.25	University College Dublin - Finn Harps	1:1

Upcoming Matches