The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Longford Town 61.4%
Draw 22.7%
Finn Harps 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
25.7%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
25%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Longford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Longford Town's performance.
Finn Harps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Finn Harps might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Longford Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Finn Harps could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Longford Town - Finn Harps Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Longford will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moore K. (G) 4. McKenna D. 12. Omorehiomwan C. 5. McCarthy T. 21. Hough J. 8. Manuel P. 20. O'Brien A. (C) 28. Moore S. 23. Paraschiv A. 14. Williams D. 15. Murtagh D.
25. Lorenzo (G) 8. Hutchison M. 18. Harkin C. 2. Cullen J. 10. McNamee T. (C) 11. McAteer G. 5. Brogan O. 20. Priosti G. 14. Coyle D. 16. Bosakani B. 7. Benny
Substitutes
16. Bailey J. 18. Brady S. 27. Brunton K. 3. Byrne A. 19. Cioch A. 24. Dawson R. 11. Harris M. 9. Ugbesia S. 25. Woodcock L.
45. Bonner C. 44. Bradley S. 33. Fanle A. 34. McAteer J. 24. McDaid A. 17. McGranaghan C. 35. Preston T. 1. Sheridan C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Williams D. ⚽,
39', McKenna D. 🟨,
45+2', Bosakani B. 🟥,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, McKenna D. ⚽,
52', 3 - 0, Murtagh D. ⚽,
57', Benny ↓, Fanle A. ↑,
57', Harkin C. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
62', McKenna D. ↓, Bailey J. ↑,
62', Paraschiv A. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
62', Williams D. ↓, Ugbesia S. ↑,
69', Bradley S. 🟨,
70', Priosti G. ↓, McDaid A. ↑,
71', Murtagh D. ↓, Dawson R. ↑,
73', Ugbesia S. 🟨,
79', McNamee T. ↓, McGranaghan C. ↑,
80', Cullen J. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, O'Brien A. ⚽,
85', O'Brien A. ↓, Brunton K. ↑,
86', Bradley S. 🟨,
90', 5 - 0, Bailey J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Longford won 0.
Longford is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Finn Harps has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Finn Harps has had a series of home games.
In this match, Longford is the team to beat.
We predict that Longford will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Longford won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Longford won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).
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Moore K. (G) 
Lorenzo (G) 
Hutchison M. 
Harkin C. 
Benny 
Fanle A. 
McAteer J. 
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