Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Atlètic Lleida		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.05	2.1
	3.56	3.01	2.17
	3.18	3.22	2.16	Watch
	3.37	3.04	2.11
	3.4	3.14	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.18)	3.09 ↓ (3.22)	2.13 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlètic Lleida
27.3%

Draw
29.6%

Atlético Baleares
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

28.5%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

27.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlètic Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlètic Lleida than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Atlètic Lleida - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Tovar J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Atlètic Lleida has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baleares is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Baleares will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlètic Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.11.25	Valencia B - Atlètic Lleida	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Atlètic Lleida - Andratx	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Alcoyano - Atlètic Lleida	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Atlètic Lleida - Castellon B	2:4 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Atlètic Lleida - Espanyol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.11.25	Atlético Baleares - Poblense	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Torrent - Atlético Baleares	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Atlético Baleares - Girona B	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Reus FC Reddis - Atlético Baleares	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Atlético Baleares - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTLW

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