Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 5

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Baleares		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.7
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.62	3.13	2.76
	2.57	3.1	2.71
	2.55	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.05)	3.09 ↑ (3)	2.7 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
35.9%

Draw
30%

Ceuta
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

30.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

29.6%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Baleares's performance.

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceuta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Baleares that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceuta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Baleares - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lario J. (G) 27. Llabres A. 15. Juanra 6. Villapalos A. (C) 23. Ferroni L. 17. Alarcon R. 7. Moreno Sanchez J. 19. Shashoua A. 4. Sierra J. 11. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 16. Rodriguez D.	1. Lopez P. (G) 2. Rodriguez F. 4. Caparros A. 20. Danese F. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 15. Doncel C. 8. Melendez A. 5. Lolo Gonzalez 23. Gonzalez N. 22. Teguia C. 11. Garcia P.
Substitutes
26. Amengual M. 9. Jimenez Xisco 2. Loren 18. Martinez J. 21. Nana 10. Pastrana V. 29. Piera J. 1. Vila R. (G)	7. Ahmed A. 10. Carnicer F. 9. Cristian 17. Cuevas A. 18. Falcon E. 14. Iglesias J. 21. Jota 3. Macias A. 13. Mejias T. (G) 12. Uche C.

Preview

Atlético Baleares is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ceuta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.09.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Atlético Baleares	5:0 ✺
10.09.23	Atlético Baleares - Málaga	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Ibiza - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Atlético Baleares - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Atlético Baleares - Hércules	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.09.23	Ceuta - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Atlético Madrid B - Ceuta	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Ceuta - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	San Fernando - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.23	Xerez Deportivo - Ceuta	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTW?

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