Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 3

Date: 10 September 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Baleares		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.45
	2.85	3	2.4
	2.96	3.12	2.47
	2.6	2.88	2.7
	2.93	3.13	2.42
	2.8	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.6)	3.06 ↑ (3)	2.47 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
32.7%

Draw
30.1%

Málaga
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

30.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

30.9%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Atlético Baleares - Málaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lario J. (G) 2. Loren 22. Ofoli F. 15. Juanra 23. Ferroni L. 10. Pastrana V. (C) 19. Shashoua A. 6. Villapalos A. 4. Sierra J. 17. Alarcon R. 16. Rodriguez D.	1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 5. Juande 20. Monte N. 14. Garcia V. 10. Larrubia D. 16. Rodriguez G. (C) 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Villodres K. 17. Dioni 19. Fernandez Jaen R.
Substitutes
18. Martinez J. 7. Moreno Sanchez J. 21. Nana 29. Piera J. 8. Ramon A. 20. Sanchez O. 1. Vila R. (G)	26. Cordero A. 4. Galilea E. 21. Hernandez Garcia J. 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 12. Molina M. 25. Murillo D. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L. 9. Zuniga L.

Preview

Atlético Baleares is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Málaga is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Málaga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.09.23	Ibiza - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Atlético Baleares - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Atlético Baleares - Hércules	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Melilla - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	Atlético Baleares - Andratx	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTTLT
- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.09.23	Málaga - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Castellón - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Estepona - Málaga	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Algeciras - Málaga	0:1 ✺
09.08.23	Málaga - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWT

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