Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 5

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Tapadinha (Lisbon)


	Atlético CP		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.66	3.5	4.75
	1.68	3.71	5.26
	1.76	3.52	4.71	Watch
	1.66	3.44	4.88
	1.66	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	4.81 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético CP
54.8%

Draw
26.1%

SC Lusitânia
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.2%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

25.1%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Atlético CP - SC Lusitânia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlético CP will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ribeiro L. (G) 31. Paulinho 4. Henriques D. 23. Almeida B. 45. Junior T. 29. Dinamite D. 22. Pinheiro E. 19. Sousa C. 28. Cruz H. 7. Barandas M. 11. Franco E.	1. Monteiro J. (G) 70. Mosquera D. 4. Careca D. 14. Amaral A. 15. Breno T. 42. Biai B. (C) 18. do Rio P. 52. Azevedo T. 77. Sidney C. 9. Souza N. 10. Rafa Tche
Substitutes
3. Balde H. 30. Dias J. (G) 5. Durand V. 14. Joaozinho 60. Marques R. 77. Mendes J. 88. Pinto P. 8. Pipo 17. Silva D.	3. Fontes B. 53. Gunjo J. 17. Isabelinha 51. Jefinho 27. Legatheaux A. 72. Sa D. (G) 19. Semedo D. 5. Silva C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Souza N. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Franco E. ⚽,
14', 2 - 1, Barandas M. ⚽,
21', 🟨,
25', 🟨,
25', 🟨,
39', Pinheiro E. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
41', 🟨,
45', Barandas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Paulinho 🟨,
60', Azevedo T. 🟨,
62', Sousa C. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
67', Careca D. ↓, Jefinho ↑,
71', Junior T. ↓, Joaozinho ↑,
72', Mosquera D. ↓, Isabelinha ↑,
72', Azevedo T. ↓, Legatheaux A. ↑,
79', Silva D. 🟨,
86', Sidney C. ↓, Gunjo J. ↑,
90+5', Marques R. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Atlético CP in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches SC Lusitânia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Atlético CP is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Atlético CP to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Atlético CP - Caldas	4:0 ✺
29.09.24	Atlético CP - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Atlético CP - Mortágua	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
15.09.24	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	1:3 ✺
25.08.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWWWW
- SC Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	SC Lusitânia - Régua	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
15.09.24	SC Lusitânia - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Belenenses - SC Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWWL

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