Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Cali		Orsomarso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	2.92	2.78
	2.66	2.86	2.96
	2.66	2.86	2.91	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.8
	2.55	2.76	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.62)	2.81 ↓ (3.04)	2.85 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cali
35.3%

Draw
32.6%

Orsomarso
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

29.6%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+1%)

Atlético Cali - Orsomarso Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Orsomarso (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Agudelo D. (G)
3. Alomia J.
6. Balanta E.
10. Eraso G.
7. Farias J.
5. Julio J.
9. Onate A.
20. Perdomo J.
21. Renteria J.
2. Villa F.
4. Zamora J.
Substitutes
27. Cano C.
28. Copete S. A.
26. Cordoba S.
23. Hormaza E.
1. Jaramillo Agudelo J. D. (G)
16. Pedraza J. (G)
29. Puerto J.
24. Saavedra S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Girado S. ⚽,
18', Perdomo J. ↓, Hormaza E. ↑,
22', 1 - 1, Renteria J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Parra J. ↓, Salinas J. ↑,
64', 🟨,
64', Ruiz A. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
64', Hernandez J. ↓, Preciado M. ↑,
73', Preciado M. 🟨,
83', Villa F. 🟨,
84', Barreiro J. ↓, Lourido D. ↑,
85', Alomia J. 🟨,
90', Salinas J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cali won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Orsomarso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cali won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Cali won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.5:1.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Orsomarso	11	2	4	5	7:11	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Primera B
03.03.26	Atlético Cali - Leones	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Bogotá - Atlético Cali	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Atlético Cali - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Real Cartagena - Atlético Cali	4:1 ✺
09.02.26	Atlético Cali - Internacional de Palmira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTLL
- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Primera B
06.03.26	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Orsomarso - Envigado	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Real Cundinamarca - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Orsomarso	2:2 ✺
09.02.26	Orsomarso - Patriotas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
30.08.25	Atlético Cali - Orsomarso	1:0
22.03.25	Orsomarso - Atlético Cali	0:0
31.08.24	Orsomarso - Atlético Cali	1:0
16.03.24	Atlético Cali - Orsomarso	0:2
29.07.23	Atlético Cali - Orsomarso	0:1
11.02.23	Orsomarso - Atlético Cali	1:0
14.08.22	Atlético Cali - Orsomarso	2:1

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