Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Cartagena		Orsomarso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.95	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4	7.24
	1.46	4.2	6.82	Watch
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.45	3.7	7.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	3.87 ↓ (4.31)	6.84 ↑ (6.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cartagena
62.9%

Draw
23.7%

Orsomarso
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

21.5%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.6%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Real Cartagena - Orsomarso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 17. Aleman J. 4. Barco S. 6. Escobar A. 26. Graciano C. 8. Guevara L. 23. Lora R. 9. Manotas M. 27. Melendez A. 10. Montero F. (C) 14. Pino D.	12. Grisales J. (G) 6. Agamez S. 13. Barreiro J. 5. Barrios D. 7. Girado S. (C) 20. Gomez L. 14. Martinez E. 22. Matamba D. 23. Parra J. 10. Ruiz A. 3. Salinas J.
Substitutes
7. Barrera J. 18. Ditta Ruiz J. J. 15. Florez C. 12. Fontalvo R. (G) 20. Nieva J. 21. Rodriguez J. 5. Solarte Espana J. A. 29. Tamayo F. 11. Yanes L.	1. Arango H. (G) 15. Gomez K. M. 17. Hernandez J. 4. Lasso M. 29. Martinez S. 16. Torres J. E. 8. Zarante

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Matamba D. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Manotas M. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Montero F. ⚽,
29', Parra J. ↓, Lasso M. ↑,
29', Matamba D. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
37', Lasso M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Girado S. 🟨,
54', Pino D. 🟨,
59', Manotas M. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
59', Guevara L. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Montero F. ⚽,
69', Barco S. ↓, Florez C. ↑,
69', Melendez A. ↓, Nieva J. ↑,
71', Salinas J. ↓, Torres J. E. ↑,
71', Agamez S. ↓, Zarante ↑,
76', Pino D. ↓, Solarte Espana J. A. ↑,
78', Girado S. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
85', 4 - 0, Barrera J. ⚽,
89', Martinez E. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Real Cartagena is the obvious favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Cartagena won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19:14	5	15
14	Orsomarso	11	2	4	5	7:11	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
02.03.26	Tigres - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Real Cartagena - Leones	2:3 ✺
13.02.26	Real Cartagena - Atlético Cali	4:1 ✺
09.02.26	Bogotá - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWWT
- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Primera B
01.03.26	Orsomarso - Envigado	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Real Cundinamarca - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Orsomarso	2:2 ✺
09.02.26	Orsomarso - Patriotas	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Tigres - Orsomarso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
21.09.25	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	3:1
11.04.25	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	1:2
23.11.24	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	0:1
30.10.24	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	2:1
14.10.24	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	1:0
10.06.24	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	2:0
20.05.24	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	0:0

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