Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play


	Atlético Cali		Leones

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	2.38	2.92	3.05
	2.5	2.89	3.13
	2.2	3	3.54	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.75
	2.74	2.66	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.87)	2.93 ↓ (3.61)	3.19 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cali
39.3%

Draw
31.6%

Leones
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

25.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

25.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Cali's form might have worsened.

Leones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Atlético Cali - Leones Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético Cali will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Cali: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Cali (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Leones (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Cali (votes: 1 - 25%). Leones (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Agudelo D. (C) 3. Alomia J. 6. Balanta E. 11. Cabezas C. 7. Farias J. 5. Julio J. 20. Perdomo J. 8. Restrepo C. 13. Royero R. 2. Villa F. 4. Zamora J.	12. Arboleda J. (G) 6. Fruto R. 30. Granados R. 28. Hincapie Ossa J. F. 3. Marmolejo D. 5. Meneses G. (C) 13. Moreno D. 11. Palacios L. 15. Pena J. 16. Renteria J. 21. Segura O.
Substitutes
27. Cano C. 28. Copete S. A. 26. Cordoba S. 23. Hormaza E. 1. Jaramillo Agudelo J. D. (G) 9. Onate A. 29. Puerto J. 21. Renteria J. 24. Saavedra S.	10. Ceballos A. 9. Gomez C. 1. Holguin C. (G) 31. Moreno J. 26. Posada S. 18. Restrepo N. 20. Ruiz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Balanta E. 🟨,
31', Zamora J. 🟨,
36', Segura O. 🟨,
45+2', Royero R. ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Segura O. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
62', Moreno D. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
62', Hincapie Ossa J. F. ↓, Posada S. ↑,
62', Pena J. ↓, Ceballos A. ↑,
62', Balanta E. ↓, Saavedra S. ↑,
62', Restrepo C. ↓, Onate A. ↑,
65', Cabezas C. 🟥,
67', Fruto R. 🟥,
69', Gomez C. 🟨,
80', Perdomo J. 🟨,
83', Granados R. ↓, Restrepo N. ↑,
87', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cali won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Atlético Cali could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cali won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Cali won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.8:1.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Leones	11	2	4	5	8:17	-9	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Primera B
27.02.26	Bogotá - Atlético Cali	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Atlético Cali - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Real Cartagena - Atlético Cali	4:1 ✺
09.02.26	Atlético Cali - Internacional de Palmira	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Real Santander - Atlético Cali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLLT
- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
27.02.26	Leones - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Real Cartagena - Leones	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Leones - Unión Magdalena	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Real Cundinamarca - Leones	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Leones - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
18.10.25	Leones - Atlético Cali	1:0
10.05.25	Atlético Cali - Leones	0:0
26.07.24	Atlético Cali - Leones	2:2
12.02.24	Leones - Atlético Cali	2:0
12.08.23	Leones - Atlético Cali	1:2
27.02.23	Atlético Cali - Leones	4:3
07.09.22	Atlético Cali - Leones	4:0

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