Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Cali		Real Cundinamarca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.50	3.30	1.87
	3.65	3.2	1.95	Watch
	4	3.3	1.94
	3.88	3.36	1.94	Watch
	3.75	3.2	1.9
	3.99	3.61	1.92	Watch
	3.55	3.15	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (3.98)	3.3 ↓ (3.41)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cali
24.4%

Draw
27.8%

Real Cundinamarca
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

26.9%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

26.3%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Real Cundinamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Atlético Cali - Real Cundinamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Real Cundinamarca will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cundinamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	33. Lemus J. (G)
	20. Acosta O.
	10. Amaya J.
	5. Cano A.
	19. Cortes J.
	17. Cuellar K.
	4. Florez S.
	28. Rios C.
	2. Suaza J. (C)
	27. Uribe C.
	23. Vidal K.
Substitutes
	14. Castro B.
	3. Estupinan J.
	8. Gomez C.
	22. Ibarguen E.
	12. Mosquera D. (G)
	18. Quinonez B.
	7. Valencia Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Delgado J. ⚽,
30', Cuellar K. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Florez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rios C. ↓, Valencia Y. ↑,
49', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
60', Cano A. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Valencia Y. ⚽,
88', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cali won 2.

Atlético Cali has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Real Cundinamarca shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Atlético Cali has faced a series of away games on the road.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Real Cundinamarca holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Cali has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:12 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Cali against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19:10	9	23

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Cali - the odds 3.98 are the expected chance of winning is 23.12%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Primera B
27.09.26	Envigado - Atlético Cali	3:0 ✺
22.09.26	Atlético Cali - Tigres	0:3 ✺
14.09.26	Orsomarso - Atlético Cali	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Atlético Cali	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Leones - Atlético Cali	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.8 LLWWW
- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
27.09.26	Barranquilla - Real Cundinamarca	0:1 ✺
21.09.26	Real Cundinamarca - Deportes Quindío	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Real Cundinamarca - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
09.09.26	Real Cundinamarca - Inter Bogotá	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
03.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cundinamarca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
25.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Atlético Cali	1:2
19.08.25	Atlético Cali - Real Cundinamarca	2:3
11.03.25	Real Cundinamarca - Atlético Cali	5:2
26.08.24	Atlético Cali - Real Cundinamarca	1:0
12.03.24	Real Cundinamarca - Atlético Cali	1:0
28.08.23	Atlético Cali - Real Cundinamarca	1:2

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