Match Info

Date: 11 June 2022, Saturday


	Atlético Cearense		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.2	1.75
	5	3.2	1.68
	4.4	3.25	1.74
	5.13	3.24	1.79
	4.5	3	1.73
	4.75	3.38	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (3.82)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cearense
19.4%

Draw
28.3%

Vitória Salvador
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

27.4%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

29.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	13.3%	73.3%

Atlético Cearense - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Atlético Cearense will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Vitória will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vitória have a series of home games.

In this match Vitória is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cearense
Brazilian Serie C
03.06.22	Floresta - Atlético Cearense	2:3 ✺
28.05.22	EC São José Porto Alegre - Atlético Cearense	1:1 ✺
21.05.22	Atlético Cearense - ABC	0:1 ✺
14.05.22	Altos - Atlético Cearense	0:1 ✺
08.05.22	Atlético Cearense - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.5 WTLWT
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie C
05.06.22	Vitória Salvador - Volta Redonda	1:2 ✺
28.05.22	Campinense - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
22.05.22	Vitória Salvador - Confiança	3:0 ✺
18.05.22	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.05.22	Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL

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