Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 1

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)


	Vitória Salvador		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.5	4.2	5.25
	1.68	3.4	4.45
	1.71	3.65	5.55
	1.31	5.25	8.10	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.5
	1.64	3.22	5.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.48)	3.83 ↓ (4.33)	5.41 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
58.4%

Draw
24.3%

Botafogo PB
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

20.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

20.1%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Gabriel (G) 28. Anderson 26. Edenilson 83. Jamerson 36. Luan Candido 77. Neris 11. Osvaldo 62. Pablo 8. Ronald Lopes 12. Tarzia D. 88. Ze Vitor	23. Max Walef (G) 77. Bastos R. 7. Dudu Hatamoto 37. Ed Carlos 12. Erick 87. Felipe Azevedo 8. Igor Maduro 14. Igor Morais 5. Jhonata Varela 6. Patric Calmon 3. Yan Souto
Substitutes
46. Almaraz A. 95. Caique Goncalves 59. de Jesus Soares G. 23. Fabricio 70. Farias C. 48. Ivan 20. Lucas Silva 68. Rebola R. 69. Wanderson 41. Wendell Santos 71. Yuri (G) 55. Ze Breno	29. Anderson Chaves 16. Bull 25. Caio Garcia 22. Dudu 18. Giovanni 19. Gustavo Santos 33. Julio Vaz 15. Kayon 27. Luiz Daniel (G) 44. Saimon 20. Thallyson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Osvaldo ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Bastos R. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Dudu Hatamoto ⚽,
42', Igor Maduro 🟨,
45+6', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pablo ↓, Fabricio ↑,
46', Anderson ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
46', Bastos R. ↓, Anderson Chaves ↑,
46', Ed Carlos ↓, Dudu ↑,
49', Ze Vitor 🟨,
59', 🟨,
65', Patric Calmon ↓, Bull ↑,
65', Dudu Hatamoto ↓, Julio Vaz ↑,
70', Luan Candido ↓, Wendell Santos ↑,
70', Ze Vitor ↓, Ze Breno ↑,
72', Max Walef 🟨,
78', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Kayon ↑,
82', Osvaldo ↓, Rebola R. ↑,
90+5', Bull 🟨,
90+5', Rebola R. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Botafogo PB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vitória is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
19.03.26	Grêmio - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
07.03.26	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWTL
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
21.03.26	Botafogo PB - Sousa	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Botafogo PB - Serra Branca	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Serra Branca - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Mixto - Botafogo PB	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
18.05.22	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB	0:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
18.11.21	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB	2:3 penalties
26.10.21	Botafogo PB - Vitória Salvador	1:1
22.07.20	Botafogo PB - Vitória Salvador	1:1
07.03.19	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB	1:3
12.03.17	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB	1:0
05.02.17	Botafogo PB - Vitória Salvador	4:2

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