Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 32

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Atlético Central		Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	2.29	3.05	2.95
	2.19	3.2	3.36
	2.18	3.43	3.12
	2.29	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.65)	3.17 ↑ (3.13)	2.96 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Central
39.8%

Draw
29.1%

Puente Genil
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

31.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Central's performance.

Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puente Genil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puente Genil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Central - Puente Genil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Gabi ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 2 - 0, Sanchez J. A. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Pradas J. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, Montenegro T. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Atlético Central is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Puente Genil is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match, the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

In the last 1 head-to-head matches, Atlético Central won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Central
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
27.04.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Central	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Atlético Central - Ceuta B	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	Conil - Atlético Central	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Atlético Central - Utrera	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	San Roque de Lepe - Atlético Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWWL
- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
27.04.25	La Palma - Puente Genil	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Puente Genil - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Ceuta B - Puente Genil	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Utrera - Puente Genil	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Puente Genil - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
14.12.24	Puente Genil - Atlético Central	0:1

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