Match Info

Serie B - Round 28

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)

Referee: Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético Goianiense		Criciúma

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3	Watch
	2.20	3.00	3.10
	2.32	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.48	3.15	3.18
	2.31	3.16	3.18	Watch
	2.35	3.05	3.2
	2.41	3.11	3.01	Watch
	2.33	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.33)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
39.8%

Draw
30.2%

Criciúma
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Warley 3. Barreto Viera O. J. 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 5. Leandro Vilela 8. Peixoto 7. Geovany Soares 10. Henrique Freitas 11. Gustavo Maia 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)	32. Airton (G) 37. Cesar Martins 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Luciano Castan 13. Waguininho 14. Ronald Lopes 8. Gui Lobo 22. Marcelo Hermes 91. Otero R. 33. Yuri Tanque 77. Diego Goncalves
Substitutes
16. Cristiano 19. Guilherme 18. Joao Pedro 17. Klebert 21. Leo Tocantins 20. Matheusinho 13. Nata 12. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Tito 15. Yuri	34. Bruno Alves 88. Caue Santos 5. Eduardo 31. Hiago Alves 41. Jean Irmer 10. Jhonata Robert 6. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 70. Pedro Santos (G) 11. Romarinho 50. Thiaguinho
Coaches
Roger Silva	Eduardo Baptista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', Yuri Tanque 🟨,
36', Peixoto 🟨,
40', Diego Goncalves 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽, Geovany Soares (A),
45+7', 2 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽, Geovany Soares (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Otero R. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
46', Diego Goncalves ↓, Romarinho ↑,
46', Ronald Lopes ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
46', Yuri Tanque ↓, Caue Santos ↑,
46', Leandro Vilela ↓, Cristiano ↑,
50', Waguininho 🟨,
52', Henrique Freitas 🟨,
57', 3 - 0, Gustavo Maia ⚽, Geovany Soares (A),
61', Cristiano 🟨,
62', 4 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽, Geovany Soares (A),
69', Marcelo Hermes ↓, Hiago Alves ↑,
77', Henrique Freitas ↓, Yuri ↑,
77', Gustavo Maia ↓, Klebert ↑,
77', Geovany Soares ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
81', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 0.

Atlético GO is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Criciúma is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético GO could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Atlético GO: Ewerthon (Ankle Injury) Netinho (Red Card)

There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus (Yellow Cards)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Criciuma: 5.88% Atletico GO: 1.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	6	53
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40:30	10	52

Last Results with these Odds

Criciúma - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.54%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
09.09.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ceará	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Juventude - Atlético Goianiense	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Avaí - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	Atlético Goianiense - Botafogo SP	3:0 ✺
18.08.26	Londrina - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWWT
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
08.09.26	Criciúma - Juventude	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Criciúma - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	CRB Maceio - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Criciúma - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Botafogo SP - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
17.05.26	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
09.11.25	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	1:0
18.07.25	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
03.10.24	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	2:0
19.06.24	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
22.09.23	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	3:1
02.06.23	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	3:0

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