Match Info

Serie B - Round 27

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)

Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN, SportyNet, Xsports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético Goianiense		Ceará

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.60	6.00	Watch
	1.61	3.60	5.00
	1.70	3.55	4.90	Watch
	1.66	3.78	5.84
	1.72	3.53	4.99	Watch
	1.60	3.80	5.95
	1.62	3.60	5.71	Watch
	1.59	3.65	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)	3.64 ↑ (3.35)	5.5 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
57.3%

Draw
25.7%

Ceará
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.8%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.8%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Goianiense's performance.

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Goianiense - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Warley 3. Barreto Viera O. J. 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 5. Peixoto 8. Netinho 7. Geovany Soares 20. Guilherme (C) 11. Gustavo Maia 9. Joao Pedro	1. Richard (G) 31. Bryan Borges 18. Julio Cesar 4. Luiz Otavio 6. Savio 25. Vinicius Zanocelo (C) 7. Giovanni Pavani 81. Joao Gabriel 40. Melk 8. Matheus Araujo 29. Vina
Substitutes
15. Cristiano 18. Gustavo Coutinho 19. Henrique Freitas 17. Klebert 21. Matheusinho 13. Nata 12. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Tito 16. Yuri	23. Caique Franca (G) 11. Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 41. Gustavo Martins (G) 77. Lenny Lobato 10. Lucas Mugni 99. Lucca 13. Luiz Otavio 2. Ramos R. 26. Richardson 12. Sanchez 45. Vini Uchella 9. Wendel Silva
Coaches
Roger Silva	Daniel Paulista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Guilherme ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Geovany Soares ⚽, Warley (A),
22', Joao Pedro 🟨,
25', Giovanni Pavani ↓, Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↑,
38', Bryan Borges 🟨,
39', 2 - 1, Melk ⚽, Matheus Araujo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gustavo Maia ↓, Henrique Freitas ↑,
46', Guilherme ↓, Yuri ↑,
51', Netinho 🟥,
53', Geovany Soares ↓, Cristiano ↑,
61', Vina 🟨,
62', Bryan Borges ↓, Wendel Silva ↑,
62', Matheus Araujo ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
67', Joao Pedro ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
68', Peixoto ↓, Klebert ↑,
73', Melk ↓, Lucca ↑,
73', Savio ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
89', Luiz Otavio 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Atlético GO is considered a favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40:30	10	52
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Goianiense - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.84%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Ceará - the odds 4.35 are the expected chance of winning is 21.39%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
05.09.26	Juventude - Atlético Goianiense	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Avaí - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	Atlético Goianiense - Botafogo SP	3:0 ✺
18.08.26	Londrina - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWTL
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
05.09.26	Ceará - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Vila Nova - Ceará	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Ceará - Londrina	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Ceará	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Ceará - Cuiabá	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	Ceará - Atlético Goianiense	0:1
01.10.23	Ceará - Atlético Goianiense	0:1
06.06.23	Atlético Goianiense - Ceará	0:3
Brazilian Serie A
23.10.22	Atlético Goianiense - Ceará	1:0
26.06.22	Ceará - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
20.11.21	Atlético Goianiense - Ceará	1:1
08.08.21	Ceará - Atlético Goianiense	0:0

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