Match Info

Serie B - Round 24

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN, SportyNet
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Criciúma		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.20	4.20	Watch
	1.93	3.00	4.00
	2.00	2.95	4.25
	1.98	3.23	4.60
	1.94	3.19	4.27	Watch
	1.95	3.15	4.45
	1.93	3.10	4.31	Watch
	1.94	3.05	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.94)	3.11 ↓ (3.29)	4.29 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
48.1%

Draw
30.1%

Fortaleza
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

28.4%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

28.2%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Criciúma - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Airton (G) 37. Cesar Martins 3. Rodrigo (C) 43. Ruan Carvalho 97. Willean Lepo 5. Eduardo 8. Gui Lobo 22. Marcelo Hermes 91. Otero R. 7. Fellipe Mateus 88. Caue Santos	1. Joao Ricardo (G) 22. Mailton 3. Lucas Gazal 6. Cardona T. 13. Mauricio Junior 29. Rodrigo 88. Lucas Sasha 75. Rodriguinho 16. Pedro Henrique 9. Miritello J. B. 32. Luiz Fernando
Substitutes
77. Diego Goncalves 31. Hiago Alves 41. Jean Irmer 10. Jhonata Robert 21. Joao Carlos 6. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 70. Pedro Santos (G) 11. Romarinho 14. Ronald Lopes 50. Thiaguinho 33. Yuri Tanque	33. Kaua Rocha 4. Luan Freitas 10. Lucas Crispim 19. Lucas Emanoel 15. Magrao (G) 17. Nathan Fogaca 28. Paulinho 77. Paulo Baya 37. Ryan 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 11. Vitinho 31. Welliton
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Autuori P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Gui Lobo 🟨,
33', Rodrigo 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Pedro Henrique ⚽, Luiz Fernando (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ruan Carvalho ↓, Hiago Alves ↑,
50', Rodrigo 🟨,
62', Gui Lobo ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
62', Caue Santos ↓, Nicolas ↑,
73', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Yuri Tanque ↑,
77', Pedro Henrique ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
77', Luiz Fernando ↓, Luan Freitas ↑,
80', Mauricio Junior ↓, Ryan ↑,
85', Eduardo ↓, Romarinho ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Paulo Baya ⚽, Lucas Sasha (A),
90', Lucas Sasha ↓, Lucas Emanoel ↑,
90', Miritello J. B. ↓, Lucas Crispim ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Criciúma is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Criciúma: Bruno Alves (Yellow Cards) Marcinho (Inactive) Waguininho (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Fortaleza: Fuentes G. (Knee Injury) Pierre (Yellow Cards) Ronald (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Lucca Prior (Knee Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fortaleza	32	15	11	6	37:27	10	56
5	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	6	53

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
19.08.26	Botafogo SP - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Criciúma - Goiás	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Athletic Club - Criciúma	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Criciúma - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
21.07.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLTW
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie B
19.08.26	Fortaleza - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Juventude - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Cuiabá - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.26	Fortaleza - Palmeiras	3:2 ✺
02.08.26	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.04.26	Fortaleza - Criciúma	3:2
Brazilian Serie A
10.08.24	Fortaleza - Criciúma	1:0
24.07.24	Criciúma - Fortaleza	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
08.09.18	Criciúma - Fortaleza	2:0
22.05.18	Fortaleza - Criciúma	2:0

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