Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 28

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	MEGOGO
World	Fanatiz


	Atlético Goianiense		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.75
	2.6	3.1	2.85
	2.66	3.18	2.92
	2.64	3.11	2.86	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.45
	2.62	3.14	2.82	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.7)	3.13 ↓ (3.27)	2.8 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
35.7%

Draw
30.3%

Fluminense
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

28.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

29.6%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Atlético Goianiense - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Alix Vinicius 4. Adriano Martins 6. Cruz A. 5. Roni 8. Baralhas (C) 7. Rhaldney 10. Lacava M. 11. Janderson 9. Jan Hurtado	1. Fabio (C) 2. Samuel Xavier 25. Antonio Carlos 29. Thiago Santos 6. Diogo Barbosa 5. Bernal F. 8. Martinelli 21. Arias J. 10. PH Ganso 11. Keno 14. Cano G.
Substitutes
22. Carlos J. 21. Derek 12. Emerson Junior (G) 19. Freitas G. 18. Gustavo Campanharo 13. Haller R. 15. Luiz Felipe 16. Luiz Gustavo 17. Pedro Henrique 14. Philipe Sampaio 20. Shaylon	80. David Terans 13. Felipe Andrade 31. Fuentes G. 23. Guga 19. Kaua Elias 45. Lima 26. Manoel 77. Marquinhos 7. Renato Augusto 90. Serna K. 20. Victor Hugo 98. Vitor Eudes (G)
Coaches
Umberto Louzer	Mano Menezes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Keno 🟨,
45+3', Diogo Barbosa 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Keno ↓, Serna K. ↑,
67', Martinelli ↓, Lima ↑,
71', Cano G. ↓, Kaua Elias ↑,
71', PH Ganso ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
77', Lacava M. ↓, Shaylon ↑,
77', Jan Hurtado ↓, Derek ↑,
84', Rhaldney ↓, Carlos J. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Janderson ⚽, Baralhas (A),
89', Bernal F. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
90+3', Janderson ↓, Freitas G. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Atlético GO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Fluminense: Lele (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético GO won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie A
21.09.24	Corinthians - Atlético Goianiense	3:0 ✺
14.09.24	Atlético Goianiense - Vitória Salvador	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Cruzeiro - Atlético Goianiense	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Atlético Goianiense - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLWW
- Fluminense RJ
Copa Libertadores
25.09.24	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
21.09.24	Fluminense - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.09.24	Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.09.24	Juventude - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Fluminense - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
15.06.24	Fluminense - Atlético Goianiense	1:2
05.10.22	Atlético Goianiense - Fluminense	3:2
11.06.22	Fluminense - Atlético Goianiense	0:2
09.10.21	Fluminense - Atlético Goianiense	0:0
23.06.21	Atlético Goianiense - Fluminense	1:0
16.12.20	Atlético Goianiense - Fluminense	2:1
Copa do Brasil
24.09.20	Atlético Goianiense - Fluminense	3:1

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