Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)

Referee: Mendonca J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Atlético Goianiense		Juventude

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.28	2.98	3.3	Watch
	2.35	2.97	3.57
	2.3	2.89	3.45	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.4
	2.3	2.89	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.24)	2.93 ↓ (3.01)	3.38 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
40.6%

Draw
31.8%

Juventude
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

31%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Atlético Goianiense - Juventude Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Tito 4. Barreto Viera O. J. 6. Guilherme 8. Cristiano 5. Leandro Vilela 7. Assis 10. Marrony 11. Geovany Soares 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)	93. Jandrei (G) 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 47. Marcos Paulo 22. Nathan Santos 5. Luan Martins 8. Lucas Mineiro 16. Diogo Barbosa 75. Rai Silva 10. MP 9. Alan Kardec
Substitutes
14. Adriano Martins 19. Bruno Jose 13. Felipe Guimaraes 16. Guilherme 15. Igor Henrique 17. Jader 20. Leo Jaco 18. Leo Tocantins 12. Paulo Henrique (G)	25. Alisson Safira 17. Castro M. 99. Costa K. 11. Fabio Lima 79. Joao Scatolin 15. Leo Indio 26. Ly I. 4. Messias 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 3. Titi
Coaches
Eduardo Souza	Mauricio Barbieri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Gustavo Coutinho (Penalty Awarded),
22', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
54', Luan Martins ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
56', Gabriel Pinheiro 🟨,
59', Assis 🟨,
59', Leandro Vilela ↓, Guilherme ↑,
59', Assis ↓, Igor Henrique ↑,
66', MP ↓, Alisson Safira ↑,
66', Alan Kardec ↓, Castro M. ↑,
75', Cristiano 🟨,
75', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Ly I. ↑,
75', Gabriel Pinheiro ↓, Messias ↑,
75', Marrony ↓, Jader ↑,
77', Barreto Viera O. J. 🟨,
84', Geovany Soares ↓, Leo Jaco ↑,
84', Cristiano ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
85', Igor Henrique 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Juventude may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atlético GO will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Atletico GO: 1.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40:30	10	52

Last Results with these Odds

Juventude - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 27.24%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Gama	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.04.26	Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.04.26	Botafogo SP - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
16.04.26	Tocantinópolis - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTTT
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
30.04.26	Cianorte - Juventude	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.04.26	Juventude - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.04.26	São Paulo - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	CRB Maceio - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Juventude - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
24.08.24	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	2:1
05.06.24	Juventude - Atlético Goianiense	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
10.09.23	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	3:0
24.05.23	Juventude - Atlético Goianiense	3:0
Brazilian Serie A
16.10.22	Juventude - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
19.06.22	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	3:1
23.11.21	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	1:1

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