Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - CLAUSURA - ROUND 10

Date: 11 September 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Plazas Alcid (Neiva)

Referee: Camargo S. (Col)


	Atlético Huila		Deportes Tolima

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.45	Watch
	3.2	2.75	2.43
	3.32	2.9	2.58
	3.2	2.75	2.25
	3.25	2.83	2.52
	3.1	2.85	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.33)	2.86 ↓ (3.06)	2.45 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Huila
29.2%

Draw
32.6%

Deportes Tolima
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

29.9%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Huila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	50%	31.2%

Atlético Huila - Deportes Tolima Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Atlético Huila will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Figueroa J. (G) 27. Lerma J. 5. Ariza A. 3. Escorcia L. 23. Medina B. 7. Hernandez S. 24. Robles C. 69. Luna Tobar C. 20. Gil Mosquera F. A. 10. Vinicius M. 11. De La Rosa W.	35. Neto Volpi (G) 29. Riascos L. 17. Torres M. 4. Haydar C. 20. Hernandez J. 19. Mosquera F. 15. Nieto J. P. (C) 11. Bone F. 10. Guzman Y. 23. Castro A. 9. Herazo D.
Substitutes
80. Angulo Castro B. 4. Caicedo L. 13. Delgado D. 6. Diaz B. 25. Manyoma Cordoba J. E. 14. Sequeda Arroyo M. 1. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G)	2. Angulo A. 18. Arango E. 13. Carabali J. D. 26. Hurtado Torres Y. D. 8. Sosa E. 6. Trujillo C. 12. Vargas Cortes C. (G)
Coaches
Corredor D.	Arastey J.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Deportes Tolima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Deportes Tolima have a series of home games.

Deportes Tolima will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 42 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 5 matches, drawn 14 matches, lost 23 matches and goals 33-59.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Huila won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
04.09.23	Once Caldas - Atlético Huila	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Atlético Huila - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
24.08.23	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Huila	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Atlético Huila - Atlético Nacional	0:1 ✺
11.08.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTTLL
- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
06.09.23	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pereira	2:3 ✺
01.09.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
16.08.23	Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
11.08.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
11.08.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Huila	1:0
25.03.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Huila	2:1
17.02.23	Atlético Huila - Deportes Tolima	0:0
15.10.21	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Huila	1:0
13.09.21	Atlético Huila - Deportes Tolima	1:2
08.09.19	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Huila	0:0
01.09.19	Atlético Huila - Deportes Tolima	0:1

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