Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - CLAUSURA - ROUND 7

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Referee: Mosquera W. (Col)


	Boyacá Chicó		Atlético Huila

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	6	Watch
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.62	3.2	6.25
	1.7	3.36	6.54
	1.7	3.1	4.6
	1.69	3.52	5.5
	1.75	3.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	3.3 ↑ (3.15)	5.58 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boyacá Chicó
55.1%

Draw
28.2%

Atlético Huila
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

29.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

28.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Atlético Huila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	21.1%	0%

Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Huila Predictions

Users Predictions: Boyacá Chicó will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 14. Banguero E. 3. Mosquera E. 4. Plazas H. 16. Alfonzo D. 8. Tamara S. 27. Londono K. 19. Lozano F. 10. Balanta G. 30. Gomez M. 7. Cruz W.	12. Figueroa J. (G) 27. Lerma J. 4. Caicedo L. 5. Ariza A. 23. Medina B. 8. Tavera R. 24. Robles C. 69. Luna Tobar C. 10. Vinicius M. 11. De La Rosa W. 29. Lucumi C.
Substitutes
20. Aleo A. 22. Colon S. 5. Del Castillo G. 11. Linan M. 21. Pena A. 6. Perea V. 12. Soto V. (G)	80. Angulo Castro B. 13. Delgado D. 3. Escorcia L. 20. Gil Mosquera F. A. 18. Guerrero E. 7. Hernandez S. 1. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G)
Coaches
Aguilar B.	Craviotto N.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boyacá Chicó won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Boyacá Chicó is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Boyacá Chicó won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Boyacá Chicó won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
20.08.23	Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó	1:1 ✺
14.08.23	Boyacá Chicó - Unión Magdalena	0:0 ✺
05.08.23	Deportivo Pereira - Boyacá Chicó	1:1 ✺
31.07.23	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo La Equidad	0:2 ✺
24.07.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Boyacá Chicó	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTTLL
- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
20.08.23	Atlético Huila - Atlético Nacional	0:1 ✺
11.08.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
04.08.23	Atlético Huila - Alianza Valledupar	0:0 ✺
30.07.23	Atlético Huila - Deportivo Pereira	2:0 ✺
23.07.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
06.03.23	Atlético Huila - Boyacá Chicó	3:2
Colombian Primera B
21.11.22	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Huila	1:0
18.11.22	Atlético Huila - Boyacá Chicó	0:2
15.11.22	Atlético Huila - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 penalties
11.11.22	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Huila	1:0
16.08.22	Atlético Huila - Boyacá Chicó	1:1
08.04.22	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Huila	1:0

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