Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 31

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Atlético Madrid B		Intercity

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	4.75
	1.72	3.4	4.1
	1.78	3.55	4.2
	1.76	3.58	4.16	Watch
	1.83	3.13	4.95
	1.78	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.08)	3.37 ↑ (2.85)	4.39 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
51.9%

Draw
27.3%

Intercity
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

32.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

31.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid B's performance.

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Atlético Madrid B - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iturbe A. (G) 5. Kostis I. 2. Pascual M. 22. Perez P. 4. Bonar J. 3. Diaz J. 6. Serrano J. 14. Gonzalez J. 20. Belaid R. 17. Luque I. 27. Janneh O.	13. Casado S. (G) 16. Gonzalez Nacho 15. Perez A. 17. Caballo D. 2. San Emeterio B. 18. Burlamaqui A. 6. Gracia J. 19. Mestanza A. 10. Martinez B. 11. Stor L. 9. Locadia J.
Substitutes
7. Bri D. 18. Diallo Selu M. 25. Esquivel S. (G) 21. Garcia A. 23. Gimenez C. 10. Gismera A. 15. Martinez D. 26. Monserrate J. 9. Nino A. 19. Raihani A. . Rajado J. 12. Spina G.	20. Codina M. 3. Diallo M. 1. Freixanet P. (G) 23. Gonzalez N. 5. Llonch P. 14. Modeste A. 22. Montero Sergio 8. Nsue E. 26. Ron K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Diaz J. ⚽,
21', Burlamaqui A. 🟨,
22', Serrano J. 🟨,
26', Perez P. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Burlamaqui A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', Perez A. 🟨,
61', Burlamaqui A. ↓, Nsue E. ↑,
61', Stor L. ↓, Llonch P. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Perez P. ⚽,
70', Luque I. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
70', Serrano J. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Monserrate J. ⚽,
75', Perez P. ↓, Bri D. ↑,
78', San Emeterio B. 🟨,
82', 4 - 1, Janneh O. ⚽,
83', Mestanza A. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
83', Locadia J. ↓, Montero Sergio ↑,
83', San Emeterio B. ↓, Modeste A. ↑,
85', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
86', Bonar J. ↓, Gimenez C. ↑,
86', Belaid R. ↓, Raihani A. ↑,
89', Gimenez C. 🟨,
90', Modeste A. 🟨,
90+5', Nsue E. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Atlético Madrid B is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Madrid B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Madrid B - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.04%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.03.25	Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Atlético Madrid B - Betis B	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Antequera - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTTWT
- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.03.25	Intercity - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Ibiza - Intercity	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Intercity - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Alcorcón - Intercity	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Intercity - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.09.24	Intercity - Atlético Madrid B	1:1
31.03.24	Atlético Madrid B - Intercity	2:1
01.10.23	Intercity - Atlético Madrid B	0:0
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Atlético Madrid B - Intercity	2:0
17.08.22	Atlético Madrid B - Intercity	0:2

Upcoming Matches