Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Camp Municipal Antonio Solana (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Intercity		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.5
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.65	3.1	2.65
	2.69	3.03	2.59	Watch
	2.66	3.23	2.61
	2.65	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.34)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	2.58 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Intercity
34.8%

Draw
29.6%

Ceuta
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

29.2%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Intercity - Ceuta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Intercity will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Casado S. (G) 2. San Emeterio B. 4. Hernandez A. 16. Gonzalez Nacho 20. Codina M. 23. Gonzalez N. 5. Llonch P. (C) 18. Burlamaqui A. 10. Martinez B. 9. Locadia J. 11. Stor L.	13. Vallejo G. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 4. Caparros A. 25. Cantero Y. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 8. Zalazar K. 5. Bellotti M. 3. Youness 10. Rodriguez C. 20. Escudero A. 9. Rodri
Substitutes
17. Caballo D. 3. Diallo M. 1. Freixanet P. (G) 25. Garcia M. (G) 19. Mestanza A. 14. Modeste A. 22. Montero Sergio 8. Nsue E. 15. Perez A. 26. Ron K.	28. Aniekan B. 11. Aquino D. 15. Guzman J. 6. Hernandez C. 12. Herranz Corral V. . Lopez B. 21. Lopez J. 1. Lopez P. (G) 32. Rodriguez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Codina M. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Zalazar K. ⚽,
41', Zalazar K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Codina M. ↓, Caballo D. ↑,
61', Martinez B. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
61', Llonch P. ↓, Montero Sergio ↑,
61', Stor L. ↓, Nsue E. ↑,
66', Rodriguez C. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
74', Zalazar K. ↓, Jamelli ↑,
79', Youness 🟨,
79', San Emeterio B. ↓, Modeste A. ↑,
81', Escudero A. ↓, Guzman J. ↑,
81', Bellotti M. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Rodri ⚽,
88', Cantero Y. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Locadia J. ⚽,
90+8', Hernandez A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Intercity is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceuta is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Intercity won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Intercity won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.03.25	Ibiza - Intercity	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Intercity - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Alcorcón - Intercity	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Intercity - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Fuenlabrada - Intercity	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTLTW
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.03.25	Ceuta - Hércules	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Ceuta - Antequera	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Villarreal B - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Ceuta - Betis B	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.10.24	Ceuta - Intercity	0:2
03.03.24	Ceuta - Intercity	2:1
10.12.23	Intercity - Ceuta	3:2

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