Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 36

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Atlético de Madrid CD (Alcala de Henares)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Atlético Madrid B		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.63
	2.45	3.1	2.72
	2.47	3.31	2.8
	2.3	3.16	3.14	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.75
	2.57	3.15	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.72)	3.1 ↑ (3)	2.8 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
37.8%

Draw
29.5%

Sabadell
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

31%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

30.9%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Atlético Madrid B - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Esquivel S. (G) 4. Bonar J. (C) 5. Martinez D. 15. Puric A. 19. Corral A. 7. Luque I. 10. Belaid R. 18. Bellotti M. 23. Ortiz A. 8. Castillo J. 9. Llorente R.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 5. Bonaldo 3. Fornes G. 21. Sergi 2. Aleman C. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. 22. Liameed Q. 23. Priego J. 14. Astals D. 11. Martinez R. (C) 9. Rodri
Substitutes
20. Barboza M. 30. Cubo M. 1. de Luis M. (G) 28. Hueso R. 11. Koke 24. Najera R. 2. Parriego M. 22. Perovic M. 27. Seidu T. 21. Sits D. 12. Spina G.	24. Aguilar Elizalde E. 17. Coscia A. 4. Garcia C. 16. Godoy A. 19. Lopez J. 6. Molina J. 13. Ortega J. (G) 18. Ortega J. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 25. Ruiz N. (G) 26. Tolosa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Ortiz A. ⚽,
41', Astals D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', Martinez R. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
46', Rodri ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Priego J. ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Llorente R. ⚽,
60', 3 - 1, Ortiz A. ⚽,
64', Bellotti M. 🟨,
67', 4 - 1, Ortiz A. ⚽,
71', Esquivel S. 🟨,
76', Sergi ↓, Coscia A. ↑,
76', Fornes G. ↓, Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ↑,
76', Aleman C. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
77', Belaid R. ↓, Najera R. ↑,
85', Llorente R. ↓, Cubo M. ↑,
85', Bellotti M. ↓, Seidu T. ↑,
90', 4 - 2, Coscia A. ⚽,
90', Bonar J. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', Luque I. ↓, Koke ↑,
90+3', Ortiz A. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
90+12', 🟨,
90+13', 4 - 3, Coscia A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Atlético Madrid B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sabadell is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético Madrid B could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Atl. Madrid B	6	2	2	2	11:8	3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Sabadell - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.91%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.05.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Atlético Madrid B	3:1 ✺
24.04.26	Atlético Madrid B - Betis B	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Teruel - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Atlético Madrid B - Marbella	5:4 ✺
05.04.26	Real Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTWL
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.05.26	Sabadell - Real Murcia	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Marbella - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sabadell - Hércules	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Sevilla B - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sabadell - Betis B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.12.25	Sabadell - Atlético Madrid B	2:0
Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
19.07.20	Sabadell - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 penalties

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