Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Malagueño		Águilas

	1	X	2
	3	2.78	2.38
	3.39	2.88	2.27
	3.22	2.86	2.45
	4.5	3.2	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (4.44)	2.93 ↓ (3.2)	2.22 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Malagueño
26.4%

Draw
31.7%

Águilas
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

28.3%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

27.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Malagueño's performance.

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Águilas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Malagueño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águilas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Malagueño - Águilas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Hidalgo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
69', 0 - 2, Keita B. ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, Fernandez J. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Malagueño has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Águilas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Águilas could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Malagueño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.10.25	Melilla - Atlético Malagueño	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Estepona	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Antoniano - Atlético Malagueño	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético Malagueño - Puente Genil	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Xerez Deportivo - Atlético Malagueño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLTT
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.10.25	Xerez Deportivo - Águilas	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Águilas - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Almeria B - Águilas	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Águilas - CD Extremadura	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Águilas - Xerez CD	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWLT

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