The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Marte 38.3%
Draw 32.1%
Municipal Limeño 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
30.9%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
32.4%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Marte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Marte's form might have worsened.
Municipal Limeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Marte than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Marte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Municipal Limeño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
50%
8.3%
Atlético Marte - Municipal Limeño Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Atlético Marte will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Municipal Limeño will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 9 and 10).
Atlético Marte is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Municipal Limeño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atlético Marte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Atlético Marte will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Marte won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Marte won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.