Match Info

Date: 4 May 2021, Tuesday


	Atlético Mineiro		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	8	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.25
	1.47	4.25	6.4	Watch
	1.48	4.2	6
	1.45	4.65	6.87
	1.47	4.33	7	Watch
	1.47	4.45	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.47)	4.31 ↑ (4.15)	6.72 ↑ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
64.1%

Draw
21.8%

Cerro Porteño
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

22.4%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

11.9%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-30.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Mineiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Mineiro - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Atlético MG in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerro Porteño is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Atlético MG is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Atlético MG to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético MG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
01.05.21	Tombense - Atlético Mineiro	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.21	Atlético Mineiro - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
24.04.21	Athletic Club - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.04.21	Deportivo La Guaira - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
18.04.21	Atlético Mineiro - Boa Esporte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWTW
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.05.21	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Cerro Porteño - Deportivo La Guaira	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.04.21	Guaireña - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.04.21	América de Cali - Cerro Porteño	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.04.21	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
10.04.19	Cerro Porteño - Atlético Mineiro	4:1
06.03.19	Atlético Mineiro - Cerro Porteño	0:1

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