Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Atlético Onubense		Conil

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.88	2.92
	1.9	3.24	3.99
	2.45	2.75	3
	2.41	2.88	2.95
	2.42	2.83	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.13)	2.92 ↓ (2.95)	3.17 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Onubense
39.6%

Draw
31.5%

Conil
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

31%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.8%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Onubense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Onubense than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Atlético Onubense - Conil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Sanchez Marin J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
85', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 12).

Onubense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Conil's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Onubense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Onubense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Onubense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Conil	5	2	0	3	4:7	-3	6
15	Atl. Onubense	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Onubense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.12.25	Atlético Central - Atlético Onubense	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Atlético Onubense - Utrera	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Dos Hermanas - Atlético Onubense	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Atlético Onubense - Cadiz CF B	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Onubense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.12.25	Conil - Pozoblanco	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	San Roque de Lepe - Conil	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Conil - Castilleja	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Coria CF - Conil	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Conil - Ceuta B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
09.02.25	Atlético Onubense - Conil	0:0
29.09.24	Conil - Atlético Onubense	1:0

Atlético Onubense - Conil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide