Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 1

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Atlético Palencia		Arandina

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.75	3.4
	2.08	3.1	3.2
	2.04	3.26	3.44
	2.07	3.2	3.3
	2.6	3.45	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.6)	3.35 ↓ (3.45)	3.14 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Palencia
43.4%

Draw
27.4%

Arandina
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

26.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Palencia's performance.

Arandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arandina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Atlético Palencia - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
27', 🟥,
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 4 - 0, ⚽,
83', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Palencia won 0.

Atlético Palencia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético Palencia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Palencia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Arandina - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.68%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.05.25	Atlético Palencia - Arandina	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Atlético Astorga - Atlético Palencia	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Atlético Palencia - Becerril	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Palencia	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Atlético Palencia - Villaralbo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLT
- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
24.05.25	Burgos Promesas - Arandina	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	Arandina - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Atlético Palencia - Arandina	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Arandina - Becerril	3:4 ✺
01.05.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Arandina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.05.25	Atlético Palencia - Arandina	1:2
11.01.25	Arandina - Atlético Palencia	3:2
29.01.23	Arandina - Atlético Palencia	1:1
25.09.22	Atlético Palencia - Arandina	1:2
27.02.22	Arandina - Atlético Palencia	1:0
17.10.21	Atlético Palencia - Arandina	1:1

Atlético Palencia - Arandina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide