Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 17

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Arandina		Becerril

	1	X	2
	2.62	3	2.52
	2.63	3.13	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.66	3.04	2.45
	2.45	3.14	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.29)	3.06 ↑ (3.03)	2.55 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arandina
35.1%

Draw
29.5%

Becerril
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.9%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Becerril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arandina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Becerril, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arandina - Becerril Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arandina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arandina	5	2	2	1	7:6	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Arandina - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.65%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
03.01.26	Mirandés B - Arandina	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bembibre - Arandina	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	La Virgen del Camino - Arandina	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Arandina - Atlético Mansillés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLTT
- CD Becerril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
04.01.26	Becerril - Bembibre	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Becerril	5:0 ✺
14.12.25	Becerril - La Virgen del Camino	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Mansillés - Becerril	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Becerril - Atlético Tordesillas	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
04.05.25	Arandina - Becerril	3:4
04.01.25	Becerril - Arandina	1:0
19.03.23	Becerril - Arandina	0:3
20.11.22	Arandina - Becerril	3:1
09.11.19	Becerril - Arandina	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
12.11.17	Becerril - Arandina	1:5

Arandina - Becerril: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide