Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Burgos Promesas		Arandina

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.7	2.9
	2.55	2.6	3.1
	2.74	2.42	3.27
	2.64	2.55	3.16	Watch
	2.41	3.08	2.92
	2.55	2.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (1.79)	2.66 ↓ (3.5)	3.08 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
35.9%

Draw
34.4%

Arandina
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.4%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgos Promesas's form might have worsened.

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arandina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos Promesas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arandina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Burgos Promesas - Arandina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos Promesas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Ventosa E. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Alonso Gomez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 2 - 1, Ruiz I. ⚽,
89', 🟥,
90+2', 3 - 1, Sagredo Garcia P. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos Promesas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
17.05.25	Arandina - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Burgos Promesas - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Atlético Mansillés - Burgos Promesas	3:1 ✺
01.05.25	Burgos Promesas - Ciudad Rodrigo	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLWT
- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
17.05.25	Arandina - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Atlético Palencia - Arandina	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Arandina - Becerril	3:4 ✺
01.05.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Arandina	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Briviesca - Arandina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
17.05.25	Arandina - Burgos Promesas	0:0
13.04.25	Burgos Promesas - Arandina	1:0
24.11.24	Arandina - Burgos Promesas	1:0
14.02.21	Burgos Promesas - Arandina	1:1
22.11.20	Arandina - Burgos Promesas	1:1
17.02.19	Arandina - Burgos Promesas	2:2
29.09.18	Burgos Promesas - Arandina	0:0

Burgos Promesas - Arandina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide