Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Arandina		Burgos Promesas

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.45	4.33
	2.04	2.65	4.4
	2.02	2.54	4.73
	2.03	2.66	4.54	Watch
	1.98	2.82	4.49
	2.04	2.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.9)	2.63 ↓ (3.4)	4.48 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arandina
45%

Draw
34.7%

Burgos Promesas
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

24.8%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burgos Promesas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos Promesas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arandina - Burgos Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Arandina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arandina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.05.25	Atlético Palencia - Arandina	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Arandina - Becerril	3:4 ✺
01.05.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Arandina	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Briviesca - Arandina	2:2 ✺
17.04.25	Arandina - Mojados	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLTTT
- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.05.25	Burgos Promesas - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Atlético Mansillés - Burgos Promesas	3:1 ✺
01.05.25	Burgos Promesas - Ciudad Rodrigo	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Bembibre - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
13.04.25	Burgos Promesas - Arandina	1:0
24.11.24	Arandina - Burgos Promesas	1:0
14.02.21	Burgos Promesas - Arandina	1:1
22.11.20	Arandina - Burgos Promesas	1:1
17.02.19	Arandina - Burgos Promesas	2:2
29.09.18	Burgos Promesas - Arandina	0:0

Arandina - Burgos Promesas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide