Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Palencia		Burgos Promesas

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.87	3.15	4.1
	1.84	2.98	4.1
	1.88	3.13	4.04
	1.87	3.15	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.23)	3.1 ↑ (2.94)	4.05 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Palencia
48.5%

Draw
29.1%

Burgos Promesas
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

30.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Palencia's performance.

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burgos Promesas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Palencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Atlético Palencia - Burgos Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
03.11.24	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Atlético Palencia - Laguna de Tenerife	4:0 ✺
23.10.24	Leonesa B - Atlético Palencia	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Atlético Palencia - Palencia CA	2:2 ✺
12.10.24	Mirandés B - Atlético Palencia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTTW
- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
03.11.24	Burgos Promesas - Becerril	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
23.10.24	Burgos Promesas - Villaralbo	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Burgos Promesas - Mojados	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Leonesa B - Burgos Promesas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.01.24	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Palencia	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
31.10.26	Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia	✺

Atlético Palencia - Burgos Promesas