Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Atlético Palencia		Mirandés B

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.95
	1.86	3.05	4.63
	1.8	3.23	4.47
	1.85	2.9	4.2
	1.94	3.17	4.22
	1.78	3.14	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.07)	3.1 ↑ (2.93)	4.33 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Palencia
49.4%

Draw
29.5%

Mirandés B
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

30.9%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

33.5%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Palencia's performance.

Mirandés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés B than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Atlético Palencia - Mirandés B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, ⚽,
28', 🟥,
43', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Palencia won 4.

Atlético Palencia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mirandés B is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético Palencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atlético Palencia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético Palencia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Palencia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Palencia CF	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7
17	Mirandes B	5	0	1	4	2:7	-5	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
25.01.26	Atlético Palencia - Becerril	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Arandina - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Bembibre - Atlético Palencia	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético Palencia - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Palencia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL
- Mirandés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
24.01.26	Mirandés B - Palencia CA	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Becerril - Mirandés B	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Villaralbo - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Mirandés B - Arandina	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Mirandés B - Colegios Diocesanos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
21.09.25	Mirandés B - Atlético Palencia	0:2
23.02.25	Atlético Palencia - Mirandés B	1:2
12.10.24	Mirandés B - Atlético Palencia	0:2
02.03.24	Mirandés B - Atlético Palencia	0:1
15.10.23	Atlético Palencia - Mirandés B	2:0
26.02.23	Atlético Palencia - Mirandés B	3:2
23.10.22	Mirandés B - Atlético Palencia	1:2

Atlético Palencia - Mirandés B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide