Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 26

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub


	Atlético Paso		Conquense

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.3	2.87	2.1
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.54	2.95	2.22
	3.41	2.95	2.19	Watch
	3.48	2.92	2.21
	3.3	3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.64)	2.97 ↓ (3.18)	2.16 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paso
27.3%

Draw
30.6%

Conquense
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.4%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Paso's form might have worsened.

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Paso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Atlético Paso - Conquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, Menudo ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Conquense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Paso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Paso - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Real Madrid C - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Atlético Paso - Unión Adarve	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TTTWL
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.03.25	Conquense - Colonia Moscardó	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Móstoles URJC - Conquense	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Conquense - Getafe B	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Navalcarnero - Conquense	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Conquense - Coria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Conquense - Atlético Paso	3:0

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