Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Atlético Porcuna		Mijas-Las Lagunas

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.78	2.35
	3.18	2.8	2.41
	3	2.75	2.4
	3.18	2.75	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3.09)	2.77 ↓ (2.78)	2.38 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Porcuna
29.1%

Draw
32.8%

Mijas-Las Lagunas
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

32.8%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

33.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mijas-Las Lagunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mijas-Las Lagunas than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Atlético Porcuna - Mijas Las Lagunas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Atlético Porcuna is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mijas-Las Lagunas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Mijas-Las Lagunas has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Atletico de Porcuna	5	2	0	3	6:14	-8	6

Last Results with these Odds

Mijas-Las Lagunas - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.81%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
15.02.26	Marbellí - Atlético Porcuna	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Arenas Armilla - Atlético Porcuna	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético Porcuna - Churriana de la Vega	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Torreperogil - Atlético Porcuna	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Atlético Porcuna - Motril	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 LWTWW
- CP Mijas-Las Lagunas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
15.02.26	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Torre Del Mar	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Mijas-Las Lagunas - UD San Pedro	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Alhaurino - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Torredonjimeno	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Granada B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.10.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Atlético Porcuna	1:0
27.10.24	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Atlético Porcuna	3:1

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