Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 17Date: 11 January 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | WebDirecto |
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Atlético Porcuna |
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Motril |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
5.9 |
3.65 |
1.5 |
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 |
5.96 |
3.88 |
1.51 |
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6 |
3.5 |
1.53 |
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 |
6.47 |
3.68 |
1.48 |
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 |
5.75 |
4 |
1.48 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.02 ↑
(5.73) |
3.74 ↓
(3.75) |
1.5 ↓
(1.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlético Porcuna
15.1% | Draw
24.3% | Motril
60.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Motril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motril than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Atlético Porcuna - Motril Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 1 - 0, Cornejo R. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 1.Atlético Porcuna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Motril has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Atlético Porcuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Motril is seen as the favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.6:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Porcuna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.2:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
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| 10 | Atletico de Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 | | | 04.05.25 | Atlético Porcuna - Motril | 0:1 | | 04.01.25 | Motril - Atlético Porcuna | 1:4 | | 19.02.23 | Motril - Atlético Porcuna | 2:0 | | 23.10.22 | Atlético Porcuna - Motril | 0:2 | | 30.01.22 | Motril - Atlético Porcuna | 2:0 | | 09.10.21 | Atlético Porcuna - Motril | 0:4 | | 21.04.21 | Atlético Porcuna - Motril | 1:1 |
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