Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Mijas-Las Lagunas		Motril

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.72	2.78
	2.7	2.65	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.64)	2.69 ↓ (2.74)	2.82 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mijas-Las Lagunas
34.1%

Draw
33.7%

Motril
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

33.1%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

31.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mijas-Las Lagunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Motril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mijas-Las Lagunas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motril than the current prediction. (-1%)

Mijas Las Lagunas - Motril Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Ariza P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Mijas-Las Lagunas has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Motril is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mijas-Las Lagunas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Including home match between the teams, Mijas-Las Lagunas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Mijas-Las Lagunas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.11.25	Marbellí - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Arenas Armilla - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Churriana de la Vega	4:0 ✺
19.10.25	Torreperogil - Mijas-Las Lagunas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTWW
- CF Motril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.11.25	Motril - UD San Pedro	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Marbellí - Motril	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Motril - Alhaurino	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Mancha Real - Motril	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Motril - Torredonjimeno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.03.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Motril	4:3

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