Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Atlético Porcuna		Torredonjimeno

	1	X	2
	2.18	3	3.1
	2.41	2.95	2.97
	1.42	3.92	8.05	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.29	3.22	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.49)	3.2 ↑ (3.05)	4.03 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Porcuna
45.7%

Draw
30.3%

Torredonjimeno
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

28.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Porcuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Porcuna's performance.

Torredonjimeno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torredonjimeno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Porcuna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torredonjimeno than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torredonjimeno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Porcuna - Torredonjimeno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Montes D. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Romero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Pegalajar ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 0.

Atlético Porcuna has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torredonjimeno is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Torredonjimeno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Porcuna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Atletico de Porcuna	5	2	0	3	6:14	-8	6
11	Torredonjimeno	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.04.26	Atlético Porcuna - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Granada B - Atlético Porcuna	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Vega	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Huétor Tájar - Atlético Porcuna	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Porcuna - Melilla B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLTWW
- UD Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
28.03.26	Torredonjimeno - Torre Del Mar	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	El Palo - Torredonjimeno	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Torredonjimeno - UD San Pedro	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Alhaurino - Torredonjimeno	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Torredonjimeno - Huétor Tájar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.11.25	Torredonjimeno - Atlético Porcuna	0:0
19.01.25	Torredonjimeno - Atlético Porcuna	3:2
02.04.23	Atlético Porcuna - Torredonjimeno	1:2
08.12.22	Torredonjimeno - Atlético Porcuna	2:0
03.04.22	Torredonjimeno - Atlético Porcuna	2:0
04.12.21	Atlético Porcuna - Torredonjimeno	2:2
28.02.21	Atlético Porcuna - Torredonjimeno	2:1

Atlético Porcuna - Torredonjimeno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide