Match Info

Date: 4 August 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Porteño		Independiente Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.35	3.05	2.8
	2.48	3.16	3.04
	2.45	2.87	2.8
	2.38	3.18	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.42)	3.06 ↓ (3.28)	2.83 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Porteño
37.9%

Draw
29.8%

Independiente Juniors
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

28%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

21.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porteño than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Atlético Porteño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente Juniors is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Porteño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Atlético Porteño won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Porteño won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Porteño
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.07.21	El Nacional - Atlético Porteño	3:1 ✺
21.07.21	Atlético Porteño - Atlético Santo Domingo	0:0 ✺
18.07.21	Gualaceo - Atlético Porteño	4:2 ✺
14.07.21	Atlético Porteño - América de Quito	2:1 ✺
11.07.21	Atlético Porteño - Chacaritas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLWW
- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.07.21	Independiente Juniors - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
22.07.21	Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
18.07.21	Independiente Juniors - LDU Portoviejo	3:1 ✺
15.07.21	Independiente Juniors - Búhos ULVR	1:2 ✺
11.07.21	Atlético Santo Domingo - Independiente Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
20.06.21	Independiente Juniors - Atlético Porteño	3:0
13.05.21	Atlético Porteño - Independiente Juniors	1:4
01.03.20	Independiente Juniors - Atlético Porteño	0:1
27.10.19	Atlético Porteño - Independiente Juniors	1:1
18.08.19	Independiente Juniors - Atlético Porteño	2:3
24.06.19	Atlético Porteño - Independiente Juniors	0:0

Atlético Porteño - Independiente Juniors

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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