Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Pelileo (Pelileo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Chacaritas		Independiente Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.33	3.55	2.17
				Watch
	3.3	3.3	2
	3.16	3.48	2.02	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.45)	3.36 ↑ (3.1)	2.2 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacaritas
30.3%

Draw
27.6%

Independiente Juniors
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.3%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chacaritas's form might have worsened.

Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chacaritas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chacaritas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Independiente Jr will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Preciado G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 2, Preciado G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 1.

Chacaritas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Independiente Jr has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chacaritas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Independiente Jr will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Chacaritas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
17.06.25	San Antonio - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Chacaritas - Vargas Torres	3:3 ✺
03.06.25	Imbabura - Chacaritas	4:1 ✺
29.05.25	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	1:1 ✺
20.05.25	9 de Octubre - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLTL
- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
18.06.25	Independiente Juniors - Atlético Vinotinto	3:0 ✺
12.06.25	Guayaquil City - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
09.06.25	LDU Portoviejo - Independiente Juniors	2:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
05.06.25	Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors	1:3 ✺
28.05.25	Independiente Juniors - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
15.04.25	Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas	3:1
16.07.24	Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas	2:0
09.06.24	Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas	1:0
17.04.24	Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors	1:5
18.10.23	Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors	1:0
31.08.23	Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas	2:3
08.06.23	Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas	0:0

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