Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Independiente Juniors		LDU Portoviejo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.95	Watch
	1.69	3.5	6.01
	1.61	3.65	5.72	Watch
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.6	3.24	5.97	Watch
	1.6	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)	3.37 ↑ (3)	5.44 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Juniors
56.3%

Draw
27%

LDU Portoviejo
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

28.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

26.8%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

LDU Portoviejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Independiente Juniors - LDU Portoviejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente Jr will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Montano K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, Yandri ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

LDU Portoviejo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Independiente Jr is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente Jr won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ind. Juniors	29	13	11	5	36:23	13	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
22.04.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Independiente Juniors	1:1 ✺
16.04.26	Independiente Juniors - Deportivo Santo Domingo	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Cuenca Juniors - Independiente Juniors	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Independiente Juniors - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
26.03.26	Independiente Juniors - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLTW
- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.04.26	LDU Portoviejo - Cuenca Juniors	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	9 de Octubre - LDU Portoviejo	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	LDU Portoviejo - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Gualaceo - LDU Portoviejo	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	LDU Portoviejo - El Nacional	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Copa
09.06.25	LDU Portoviejo - Independiente Juniors	2:1 penalties
Ecuadorian Serie B
08.09.21	LDU Portoviejo - Independiente Juniors	0:1
18.07.21	Independiente Juniors - LDU Portoviejo	3:1
26.05.21	LDU Portoviejo - Independiente Juniors	2:2
23.03.21	Independiente Juniors - LDU Portoviejo	3:0
08.12.19	Independiente Juniors - LDU Portoviejo	0:0
03.12.19	LDU Portoviejo - Independiente Juniors	2:1

Independiente Juniors - LDU Portoviejo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide