The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Sanluqueño 18.5%
Draw 26.9%
Algeciras 54.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.9%
26.8%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.1%
25.6%
57.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Sanluqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Atlético Sanluqueño - Algeciras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Dominguez R. (G) 2. Sola Villalba R. 12. Ukwuije N. 14. Pavon A. 4. Almagro S. 9. Alvarez I. 21. Satoca D. 26. Andujar J. 3. Cabrera J. 24. Ajouaou V. 15. Denia M.
1. Moreno I. (G) 15. Ruiz V. 6. Mayorga A. 16. Gomez A. 3. Marquez J. 17. Aviles J. 20. Alamo J. 24. Castro O. 19. Obeng I. 7. Rastrojo J. 21. Garcia J. (C)
Substitutes
30. Barea P. 28. Bargallo A. 18. Diallo B. 19. Juarez A. 20. Lobede U. 6. Mulenga T. 5. Niza S. 1. Rocafort R. (G) 17. Rodri 11. Simon L.
22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 13. Casado S. (G) 4. Coch A. 10. Garrido D. 9. Gonzaga M. 14. Nader A. 23. Riley J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Rastrojo J. 🟨,
15', Almagro S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Aviles J. ↓, Gonzaga M. ↑,
61', Ruiz V. ↓, Adot Barandiaran P. A. ↑,
62', 🟨,
62', Denia M. ↓, Juarez A. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽,
77', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7).
Sanluqueño is Relegated to
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 0.
Sanluqueño is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Algeciras has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sanluqueño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Algeciras is seen as the favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sanluqueño won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).